Expect increasing clouds today with highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds will increase speeds from 10 to 20 mph. Rain is likely later tonight through part of Wednesday.
We're in a holding pattern for most of the day as we await the arrival of a storm system later tonight that will bring rain to northern OK. No severe weather is expected across the state but a few thunderstorms may be possible along the Red River Valley. The Tulsa metro and surrounding areas will receive showers and rain with very little thunder if any at all. The timing of the system may still change, but we should see some rain approaching by 8pm tonight and lasting through the midday period of Wednesday. Some additional showers will be possible Wednesday evening and Thursday across southern Ok. Our chances in the northern section of the state will be near 20% for Thursday.
The system of note is located across the desert southwest and will soon move into southwest Texas. This will cause a surface area of low pressure to form across southwest or central Texas and will bring the rain into the southern plains including the Eastern sections of the state.
The parameters for strong to severe storms will be located to our south across south-central Texas where strong upper level support will combine with deeper moisture to produce some serve storms. We're not expecting a repeat of the recent severe weather outbreak that occurred in the Deep South yesterday morning where several strong tornadoes were reported.
After our system departs the area Thursday, we're in good shape for the weekend.
A cold front will move across the northern third of the state Friday afternoon bringing strong north winds and colder air for the Saturday period. Moisture will be very limited but we may see a few flurries or a very light minor dusting of snow late Friday evening into pre-dawn Saturday across extreme northern OK and southern Kansas.
Temperatures Saturday may end up colder than our advertised special, but we're going to stick with some mid 40s at this point with north winds.
Sunday into Monday the pattern suggest a return to southerly winds and consequently some warmer air.
A massive sunspot explosion a few days ago is resulting in one of the strongest solar flares in the last 7 years. The solar eruption has the potential to disrupt satellite communications and interfere with the earths magnetic fields for the next 24 hours. The coronal mass ejection has been classified as an M9 which is the highest M level class fare before flares move into the X classification, which is the highest level of flares.
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