Notice the map on the right. It is known as the QPF, Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, and is valid through Sunday morning. Obviously, Oklahoma is pretty much high and dry during that period although we will be just north of some potentially very wet weather across Texas. I mention that because if the system responsible for the wet weather in Texas should take a turn a little further north than anticipated, then we would have to increase our rainfall chances accordingly. For now, will maintain just a slight chance of a shower or possible thunder and primarily for the more southern counties as we go through the Fri-Sun time period.
The best part is that the pleasant, mild conditions we have enjoyed today will be with us at least through the coming weekend and quite possibly much of the following week as well. The wind pattern aloft has changed enough that we expect temperatures to be at or below normal for much of the next two weeks. Thus, we do not see a return to the summer-like heat and humidity we endured the first week of the month; at least through the next two weeks.
In fact, temperatures will be much below normal tonight and tomorrow night as our skies will be clearing out this evening and we should have generally fair skies for the next few days. The fair skies and the drier surface air brought in by a light northerly wind will result in lower 50s to start the day Wednesday with the outlying, normally cooler valley locations likely seeing some upper 40s. Thursday morning looks to be even cooler yet. Sunny skies during the day and light winds should also result in a nice rebound with afternoon highs well into the 70s.
By Friday, things will start warming up at night due to a return to southerly winds. Also, a disturbance moving across Texas may come close enough to produce more cloud cover and perhaps even a few showers for the more southern counties. Another cool front is still on tap to arrive Saturday morning and this may hang around enough to keep a chance of showers and possibly some thunder for Saturday and Sunday. That should be moving further southward by early next week.
More importantly, this cool front will re-enforce the mild air we have in place and the return to a N or NE wind going through early next week should keep temperatures near normal for this time of year. And, as mentioned earlier, the wind pattern aloft has changed enough that we do not see a return to those unusually hot, humid conditions we had to start the month.
As always, stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
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