The pattern will remain somewhat uneventful for the next few days before a cold front moves into the area Sunday into Monday. The upper level support for this boundary will be rather weak by mid-May standards, but a few severe storms may be possible Sunday into Monday. The boundary will stall Monday and slowly lift northward Monday evening into Tuesday as another upper level wave draws closer to the area late next week. The unseasonably warm weather will continue this week and probably for most of next week with highs in the mid to upper 80s. South winds will be increasing tomorrow in the 10 to 20 mph range but wind speeds will be moving into the 15 to 30 mph range Friday into the weekend.
Today a weak boundary will slide southward into the SE Kansas, SW Missouri, and far NE Ok region this afternoon. This may bring a weak wind shift as far south as the Tulsa area this afternoon. Any shower or thunderstorm activity would be very isolated and mainly across far NE OK, SW Missouri, or NW Arkansas. This chance would be around a 10% pop. We have not elected to include this very small probability on the forecast graphic map for the morning hours, but I'll make note of this small chance on the morning broadcast.
The medium range data continues to support a mid-level vort sliding from the west to east across the area Friday. This may be just enough lift to generate a few showers or storms across the western half of the state Friday. I doubt these would have the chance of entering our coverage area. Again, I have elected to keep this very slight probability off the map.
The long range pattern recognition would support above normal temperatures for all of next week along with gusty south winds. This should also lead to a slight chance of showers or storms sometime by the end of next week.
Normal high: 79 Normal low: 59
Record high today: 94 from 1931, and 1911 Record low: 40 from 1907
Sunrise: 6:16AM Sunset: 8:25PM