Due to the ongoing storm activity across the area this morning, I'm a little behind schedule for the blog update. A storm complex moved across part of the area this morning bringing strong winds, heavy rainfall, and some hail to northern OK. This system is weakening as it moves southeastward into east central OK this morning and will be out of the region by 8AM.
Expect another warm, muggy, and breezy afternoon with highs in the upper 80s near 90. The clouds may stick around for most of the midday period before thinning later this afternoon. South winds will increase speeds from 10 to 20 mph today and will continue to bring moisture into the lower levels of the atmosphere and increasing the muggy feel for the day. The chance for additional storm development this afternoon will remain due to residual outflow boundaries and a convectively induced area of vorticity that will move closer to northeastern OK later this afternoon. Another round of storms will be possible later tonight to our northwest, but these storms should not move into our area.
Saturday afternoon a cold front will approach southern and central Kansas and additional storms will form along the boundary. These storms will have a chance to congeal into another storm complex and move near or into northeastern OK late Saturday evening into pre-dawn Sunday morning. I'll continue to keep the chance on the low side until we get better consistency in the data. The actual cold front will stall to our north and retreat into the central plains to the Midwest early next week allowing for warm, muggy, and windy conditions for the first part of the upcoming work week.
The EURO continues to suggest the potential for an increase in low level moisture by midweek which would increase the temperature heat index values while leveling off our daytime highs in the lower 90s. Morning lows will more than likely come up into the lower or mid 70s because of the increase in low level moisture. Another cold front would approach the state by Thursday with a chance of storms, but this boundary will more than likely stall and not move into the body of the state.