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Monday Morning Update

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Howdy friends!  Thanks for stopping by on the last day of 2012. I'll skip some of the details this morning and get to the meat and potatoes.

 It's a little ironic that we'll end a very dry year on a very wet note! Light rain has been overspreading the area since midnight or so and this trend will continue for most of the day. For the next hours, or through the early morning time period, there will be a slight chance of some light wintry mix across extreme northeastern OK with a slightly higher probability across the SW Missouri vicinity.  Locals temps are in this area reside around 34 with local dew point readings slightly below freezing.  Any wintry precip is expected to be relatively light.  A winter weather advisory is posted for northwestern OK for the next few hours but no advisory is currently in effect for our immediate area of the state.

 By late this afternoon or early evening, most of the precip will be moving east or northeast before a surface cold front slides across the state early tomorrow morning.  As the colder air moves across the state, there will be a slight chance for either a few snow flurries, or possibly some light freezing drizzle for an hour or two tomorrow morning.  This is not expected to be a big issue but I do need to make you aware of the possibility.

The rest of the week looks cold.  The temps tomorrow will stay in the lower to middle 30s for daytime highs with mostly cloudy conditions before the sky begins to clear later in the evening.  The dry air will set the stage for a very cold Wednesday morning with low sin the upper teens or lower 20s.  Sunshine will be abundant Wednesday afternoon with highs near 40.

Another surface front may cross the state Thursday morning and bring another shot of cold air to the state through Friday.  The model data output statistics are probably not cold enough and I knocked the highs down a few degrees for Thursday and Friday with most of the highs in the upper 30s.  Lows in the upper teens or lower 20s will be common.

The EURO continues to bring another decent upper air system across the area Friday, but the dry air mass will preclude a mention of any snow flurries, at least at this point in the forecast cycle.   We'll watch this time period carefully just in case the data attempts to pull a "Crazy Ivan" or a reversal to last week's solution which did include some precip.  Again, the air mass should be dry.

Yesterdays high in Tulsa was 45 recorded at 1:31PM. 

The normal daily average is 47 and the low is 28.

Daily records include a high of 78 recorded on this date in 1951 and the low of 0 from both 1927 and 1969.

We're going to finish the year around 12.5 inches below our normal precip averages.

You'll find me Facebook and Twitter.

http://www.facebook.com/AlanCroneNewsOn6

Twitter   @alancrone

 

Thanks for reading the Monday Morning Weather Discussion.

 

Have a super great day.

 

Alan Crone

 

 

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