Greetings and Happy New Year! If you're reading the weather blog-discussion this morning, you're very dedicated! Thanks for stopping by!
Our short term weather issue is the possibility of some light freezing drizzle or possibly some light snow flurries on occasions across extreme northern OK and southern Kansas. Some light showers or mist may also be possible across the southern third of the state before the cold front moves across the area early this morning. This precipitation is not expected to be significant, but with temps dropping to the upper 20s or lower 30s, even light drizzle or mist would deposit a glaze on elevated bridges and overpasses. The chance of this occurring is near or slightly less than 20%. After the early to mid-morning hours, the threat of this goes away and we're expecting a cloudy and cold afternoon with highs near 35 . North winds around 10 to 18 mph will be common before the winds decrease speeds later this afternoon and early evening.
Our cloud cover is also expected to slide away from the region later this evening, but it's probably going to be too late for any sunshine. The clear sky and dry air overnight will support our temps dropping to near the local dew point tonight and will feature lows in the middle teens to upper 20s.
Wednesday abundant sunshine should finally occur with highs near 40s along with south to southwest winds around 10 mph on the back side of a surface ridge of high pressure located to the east of Tulsa.
Medium and extended data both support another surge of colder air Thursday into Friday as a mid to upper level low slides across the area allowing a surface cold front to move southward. At this point in the forecast cycle, the chance of any precip will be very low and we'll not make any mention of precip. As I posted yesterday, last week's EURO did support precip with this upper level trough, but the last numerous runs only indicate a few clouds.
The weekend should feature a warming trend with highs in the 50s and this pattern will more than likely continue into early next week. A little wrinkle this morning is the delay of the mid-level trough passage until Saturday. This could bring a weak boundary into the state Saturday afternoon with north winds. We'll knock the Saturday high down a degree or two, but not much. Mondays temps should be moving closer to 60.
We're seeing signs in the data of another system approaching the state during the middle of next week. But there's no way to adequately forecast any precip chances at this point.
The official high yesterday in Tulsa was 38 recorded at 2:59pm.
Our precipitation for the day ended at 0.69 inches bringing our yearly total to 28.74 inches of precip.
This allowed for a deficit of -12.23 for the end of the year.
The last time we finished a year with above normal precipitation was 2009.
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