Tuesday Morning Update

We're planning for another cold day with morning lows currently in the mid-teens.  Highs this afternoon will move into the mid to upper 30s across northern OK   A surface ridge of high pressure is nudging into northeastern OK and Missouri Valley this morning and our winds will become light from the north around 5 to 10 mph. 

We're tracking a storm system this morning that will spread snow and sleet across North Texas and part of southeastern OK.  A winter weather advisory is in effect for North TX until 10AM.  While most of this will stay south of our immediate Northern OK area, some snow/sleet will be possible across the southeastern part of the state.

Our upper air pattern remains fast and progressive.  This means we're seeing a system or disturbance about every other day, including the one this morning to our south.  We had the fast moving upper wave that clipped southern OK yesterday morning that produced some light snow pellets, and we'll have a stronger upper level system approaching during the next 36 hours. 

The NAM has finally come around to the GFS-EURO solutions in keeping the bulk of the upper level low south of the immediate area of concern.  The NAM output from just a few days ago brought a very healthy dose of measurable snow to the Tulsa area, but has since kept the precip out of the grids all together.   There may be some light snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday morning across the Texoma region that could swing up into far southeastern OK but the chance of measurable snowfall is very low due to the low moisture content in the atmosphere.  

After Thursday morning, we should be in store for a mini warm up with highs Friday and Saturday moving into the 50s and morning lows in the 30s.  Another front should cross the area Sunday and this will bring more cold air back to the state early next week.  We're seeing signs of another significant surge of cold air that should arrive Monday and could linger for a few days next week.  Only the EURO brings a small area of light snow across Eastern OK Monday.  We'll not add any precip to the forecast at this point, but may slide a 20 pop in for Monday in subsequent forecast cycles. 

The high in Tulsa yesterday was 35 recorded at 3:49pm.

The normal daily average high is 48

and the low is 27.

Our daily record high is 70 and was recorded on this date in 2006.

The daily record low of  0  was recorded in 1905.

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Thanks for reading the Tuesday Morning Weather blog-discussion.

I'll be on the radio this morning with Dan Potter and The KRMG Morning News.

Thanks again!

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV