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Friday Morning Update

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The clouds will stick around for most of the morning before thinning out some later today offering a sun-cloud mix with temps moving into the upper 40s and lower 50s.  Northwest winds will remain in the 10 to 15 mph today.  Early this morning a few small areas of drizzle may be possible across extreme eastern or southeastern OK but by the time most of you will be reading this post, the drizzle will be over. 

The upper air pattern will allow the colder air to slide eastward and mild air will return for the weekend.  A more significant warm up will occur early next week with highs in the 70s.  A storm system in the upper levels of the atmosphere currently located southwest of San Francisco ( over the pacific ocean) will bring a chance for showers late Saturday night into Sunday across the northern portions of the state and southeastern Kansas.  Our chance for this precip will remain near 30%.  Winds will be increasing in the 15 to 25 mph range Sunday from the south and this will allow the low level moisture to slide northward as a portion of the upper level wave will draw near the area.   

This main upper level low will remain well west of the area Tuesday and Wednesday, but a decent chunk of energy will slide across the state Tuesday into Wednesday.  This should allow for thunderstorms to develop Tuesday across eastern OK and spreading into Arkansas.  The current convective parameters would support the threat for severe storms near or east of the area but the overall coverage and chance for storm activity will remain around 20%. 

I must also mention the data (EURO) has now slowed the eastern progression of the upper level system until late in the week.  This means the unsettled weather pattern may also last well into next week, including the potential for some rain changing to snow around Wednesday night into Thursday morning.  The uncertainty in the extended forecast is not unusual and we'll continue to update the numbers and probabilities daily.  I'll include a very slight probability in the 7 day planner for this time period.

 

The normal daily average high is 49 and the low is 28. 

Our daily records include a high of 74 from 1952 and the low 2 from 1940, 1930, and 1905.

 

You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter.

http://www.facebook.com/AlanCroneNewsOn6

Twitter  @alancrone

 

I'll also be discussing the weather on numerous Radio Oklahoma Network stations throughout the morning and early afternoon and also with Dan Potter and the KRMG Morning News in Tulsa.

 

Thanks for reading the Friday Morning Weather Discussion and blog.

 

Have a super great day!

 

Alan Crone

 

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