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Friday Morning Update

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Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions today with highs in the lower 60s.  Increasing clouds will occur later tonight with a chance of showers Saturday morning across the northern third of the state. 

What a wonderful afternoon we experienced yesterday with abundant sunshine and highs in the lower 50s!  After the morning clouds, the sun made the long awaited appearance as advertised and the temps made the first move up from the chilly 30s and 40s of Wednesday.  Today we'll be even warmer as readings will move into the lower 60s.  But another fast moving and weak wave will generate a few showers tomorrow before a stronger storm system will arrive next week. 

More tornadoes were produced yesterday across portions of Mississippi with severe weather also in Alabama as the major storm system continued to move eastward.  Today the system is almost off the coast, but a few strong to severe storms will be possible across the far eastern U.S around the Carolinas. 

Our weather should be in good shape despite the chance for some showers tomorrow.  Our highs will move closer to 70 tomorrow with Sunday afternoon reaching the upper 70s or lower 80s. 

Almost all available guidance drops a fast moving disturbance out of the Rockies this afternoon and across northern OK early Saturday morning.  There will be some showers with this wave as it moves into our area, but the question remains regarding the exact coverage.  The NSSL and EURO are both slightly more southward with this wave and would bring the chance to a larger area, while the NAM and GFS stay mainly north of the 412 corridor.  I'll more than likely bring our pop up to a 30% chance and let it ride. 

Next week most data supports a west to east boundary positioned across northern OK and southern Kansas both Monday and Tuesday.  Low level moisture will stream northward early next week setting the stage for a chance of storms with highs in the upper 70s or lower 80s.  The presence of the boundary combined with late night and early morning low level jets could easily develop storms near the boundary both Monday and Tuesday morning.  Over the years, I have seen some strange interactions with stationary-quasi warm fronts in April with moisture surging northward.  I'll make no big severe weather statements at this point, but we'll be watching observational networks closely early next week and keep a slight chance of storms in the forecast. 

By Wednesday or Thursday, the upper levels will support the surface boundary moving southward bringing a round of showers and storms to part of eastern OK followed by a modest cool down.  The temps will drop into the 50s for daytime highs either Wednesday or Thursday, but the timing of this frontal boundary may change a bit between now and then.  Check the forecast often for updates.  At this point, we'll delay the 50s until Thursday.  

The high in Tulsa yesterday was 54 recorded at 2:59 pm.

The normal daily average high is 71 and the low is 48.

Our daily records include a high of 102 from 1972 and a low of 26 recorded on this date in both 1957 and 1940.


You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter.

Twitter  @alancrone


You'll also hear my statewide and regional weather forecasts on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network Affiliates across the state through the noon hour.


Thanks for reading the Friday Morning Weather Discussion and blog.


Have a super great day!


Alan Crone


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