The overall pattern for the next few days will feature a ridge of high pressure expanding across the southern plains. This will limit the rain and storm chances and increase the temperatures across the state. The last two weeks we've seen exceptionally cool weather by August standards, but the readings will begin to increase over the next few days.
The position of the ridge by the end of the week will feature the center moving slightly northeast of the state which may allow a weakness to develop on the back side or across part of the region. This could allow for a few scattered showers or storms across the eastern OK area by Sunday or Monday, but this chance appears very low at this point. We'll keep a slight mention (10%) in the Sunday time period, but this may be a stretch.
We'll also continue to watch for any development across the gulf coast region as a few of the operational models continue to hint at some kind of formation in this area during the next 48 hours. If this feature does form, most if not all of the direct weather impacts would remain well south of the region.
Our temperatures will attempt to move into the mid-90s Wednesday through the end of the week with morning lows in the lower 70s. We do not anticipate any major increase in low level moisture despite a slight increase in the data for the end of the period. This means the temperature heat index values should not become oppressive.
The high in Tulsa yesterday was 87 from 4:32pm.
The normal high is 93 and the low is 71.
Daily records include a high of 106 from both 1935 and 1917. Our daily record low for Tulsa is 53 from 1967.
Precip for the year is at 23.38 inches which is only -2.89 below normal precip to date of 26.27 inches.
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I'll be discussing the state-wide and regional forecast today on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network affiliates across the state through the morning hours.
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