We experienced a few widely spaced showers and storms yesterday across the area, and we anticipate a few more this afternoon across the eastern third of the state. This will occur as the main upper level low currently cut off across the ArkLaTex region continues to influence our weather for another day or so. The data suggests a slightly higher coverage for activity this afternoon. This will require higher pops on the 7 day compared to yesterday. Our chances will remain near 50 to 60% for this afternoon and early evening. Daytime highs will be around 78-84 across our region with east or northeast winds at 10 to 15 mph.
This weekend may continue to offer a few storms for Saturday with highs in the lower or mid-80s. By the second half of the weekend into early next week, the pattern will change allowing for warmer and muggy conditions and highs nearing 90.
The persistent cut-off low has been near our area for the last week. Another system is moving across the Pacific Northwest eventually bring a disturbance across the central part of the nation this weekend. Our cut off will slide to the southeast across Texas and into the Gulf by Sunday. But we'll need to keep the higher chances today and some pops into the weekend before this system loses its grip on the region. Keep in mind, the data has flipped a few times regarding the exact outcome of the cut-off. If it's still sticking around Sunday, we're going to see showers and storms.
The upper air pattern change will bring a chance for a few storms almost every night across the northwestern third of the state. We'll keep a slight chance for these storm complexes to impact our area early next week but the chances will remain low. We also think most of the areas across the eastern third of the state will feature a layer of warm air aloft (the cap) across the region. This could also act to limit or even keep activity out of the area all together.
Temperatures this afternoon will remain near 80-84 for the highs, but should increase this weekend into the mid-80s before reaching the lower 90s early next week.
Yesterday's high in Tulsa was 89 recorded at 2:43pm. We had 0.10 of precip bringing our monthly total up to 3.41 inches. This brings our year to date total to 16.12 inches which is -7.77 below normal.
Our average normal high is 82 and the low is 63. Daily records include a high of 98 from 1934 and a low of 45 from 1947.
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