Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Cold Start To 2015; Winter Weather T - NewsOn6.com - Tulsa, OK - News, Weather, Video and Sports - KOTV.com |

Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Cold Start To 2015; Winter Weather Through Saturday

Posted: Updated:

Happy New Year!

Could get interesting across the state for New Year's Day into the weekend as cold air in place at the surface will be tough to erode and some energy aloft will be moving across the state keeping us cloudy along with chances of precipitation. Precipitation type and amounts are very difficult to determine in this sort of pattern due to the problems inherent in determining the vertical profile of temperature. Notice the first graphic which I also referenced yesterday which provides a good graphical description of how the vertical profile can impact what we experience at the surface.

Here is how we see things at this time, but this is certainly subject to change. The main problem for Thursday is not only the surface temperatures, but also the depth and magnitude of the layer of warmer air aloft. This event should begin with a mixed bag of sleet/freezing rain, then gradually transition over to a very cold rain as surface temperatures are expected to eventually get above the freezing mark by late afternoon. Also, amounts look to be light, generally around a tenth of an inch or less and the winds will be very light so power problems do not appear to be an issue at this time. This event should be ending by the evening or early night time hours and again looks to be primarily confined to locations along and south of I-40. Keep in mind, there could be some icing issues on bridges and overpasses, particularly early in the event.

We should start off Friday cloudy, cold and for the most part dry; but not for long. The main storm system aloft will be heading our way spreading more precipitation across the state by late afternoon, through that night, and well into the day Saturday. By then, current indications suggest that surface temperatures will be above freezing so although there remains the possibility for some sleet, this should be primarily a cold rain for the Friday night into the day Saturday time frame.

The system now looks to be moving through more slowly so we will be on the backside late Saturday into the overnight hours and for early Sunday morning. As the colder air at the surface and aloft then surges back southward, there will be an opportunity for the rain to change over to snow with possibly as much as an inch or so, primarily for the counties along the OK/KS state line. Most of the rest of us should be dry slotted aloft ending the precipitation that night before there can be much of a changeover.

After that, you may find this hard to believe but we expect to see clearing skies during the day Sunday with lots of sunshine that afternoon for the next few days after that. It will still be cold with temperatures likely staying below freezing Sunday and only a slow moderating trend going into the early part of next week.

However, notice the next two maps which suggest the longer range trends are supportive of a more significant moderating trend as we go into the latter part of next week and that following weekend. In other words, there is some hope for a break in the cloudy, cold conditions that will start the new year.

In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot

  • Travis Meyer's BlogMore>>

  • What A Storm!

    What A Storm!

    Well that was one wild 10 day runs with Oklahoma weather! Record snow of 27" @ Spavinaw and a record state low of -31 in Nowata.More >>
    Well that was one wild 10 day runs with Oklahoma weather! Record snow of 27" @ Spavinaw and a record state low of -31 in Nowata.More >>
  • SHORT COLD BLAST THIS TIME

    SHORT COLD BLAST THIS TIME

    Our strong, but little, storm system that brought cold rain, wind and falling temperatures to Green Country is moving out.More >>
    Our strong, but little, storm system that brought cold rain, wind and falling temperatures to Green Country is moving out.More >>
  • Alan Crone's BlogMore>>

  • Rain, Cooler Air Moving Into Eastern Oklahoma

    Rain, Cooler Air Moving Into Eastern Oklahoma

    The much-advertised cold front is moving southward this morning and will soon cross part the area with north winds and gently falling temps along and northwest of I-44 with another relatively warm day expected again for our friends and neighbors across far east-central and southeastern sections of the state.  

    More >>

    The much-advertised cold front is moving southward this morning and will soon cross part the area with north winds and gently falling temps along and northwest of I-44 with another relatively warm day expected again for our friends and neighbors across far east-central and southeastern sections of the state.  

    More >>
  • Cold Front To Move Into Eastern Oklahoma

    Cold Front To Move Into Eastern Oklahoma

    This is the week that we’ll track a cold front slowly moving into the state bringing some scattered showers and storms into the region along with some noticeably cooler air.  The front continues to be rather slow in the as the upper air flow will remain nearing parallel to the surface boundary for most the early period.   The better chance for rain and thunderstorms will remain near and west of the area today and for most of tomorrow with increasing chances late Tuesda...

    More >>

    This is the week that we’ll track a cold front slowly moving into the state bringing some scattered showers and storms into the region along with some noticeably cooler air.  The front continues to be rather slow in the as the upper air flow will remain nearing parallel to the surface boundary for most the early period.   The better chance for rain and thunderstorms will remain near and west of the area today and for most of tomorrow with increasing chances late Tuesda...

    More >>

Special Features

Bus Stop Forecast

Wondering if you’ll need rain gear for you morning bus trip or afternoon ride home? Ask Alan!

Weather 101

Learn more about weather events that affect Oklahomans

Radars

See where weather is happening using our live interactive radars.

Live Traffic

Get the latest road conditions on Green Country roadways.

CBS Shows

Watch your favorite CBS shows for free online.

Live Radar

WARN Interactive

Featured on NewsOn6.com

  • Radars

    See where weather is happening using our live interactive radars.

  • Osage SkyNews 6

    When there is breaking news across the state Osage SkyNews 6 can be first on the scene.

  • Storm Zone

    Watch tornadoes tear across Oklahoma and learn how to stay safe!

Powered by Frankly
News On 6
303 N. Boston Ave.
Tulsa, OK 74103
Newson6.com is proud to provide Oklahomans with timely and relevant news and information, sharing the stories, pictures and loves of Oklahomans across our great state.
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2017 KOTV. Oklahoma Traveler™ is a registered trademark of Griffin Communications. All Rights Reserved.
For more information on this site, please read our Privacy Policy, and Terms of Service, and Ad Choices.