WARN Interactive Radar
Thursday into Friday another mid-level wave will advance near the area, but this disturbance will drop from the northwest as the northern stream migrates slightly southward into the central and northern plains states. As this short-wave nears the state, another surface area of low pressure should develop across Eastern New Mexico or Western areas of North TX. The low will traverse southeast away from the state, but an area of rain will be possible Thursday and Friday near the area according to the last few runs of the NAM. Temperatures for this period will remain cool with lows in the 40s and highs Thursday in the mid to upper 50s and Fridays highs in the lower to mid-60s. Weekend temperatures appear mild with lows in the 40s and highs in the upper 60s near 70.
Another system should be nearing the state either early next week or by midweek. The upper air pattern will remain slightly from the northwest but should be transitioning to more of a southwesterly flow by next week. The “pattern" would support warm air and the potential for thunderstorms sometime next week. The exact day is rather nebulous on my part. If the low level moisture can become deeper next week, we may be dealing with our first chance for a few severe storms, but model data does not indicate moisture will be sufficient or deep enough at this point for any confident statements.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!
I'll be taking a few days off for the end of this week. Mike Grogan will be handling forecasting duties for the mornings for the remainder of the week.
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