Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Another Round of Storms, Some Severe This Weekend

<p>A few showers will be possible again Sat morning, but that evening into the overnight hours look to be the most likely time for locally heavy rains and potentially severe storms.</p>

Friday, May 15th 2015, 9:03 pm

By: News On 6


Our daily dousings continue as the showers and some thunder that occurred this morning brought mostly light rainfall amounts for our side of the state as you can see on the statewide rainfall map for today, courtesy of the OK Mesonet.

We have now recorded 9 days with rainfall so far this month and the total is more than 3” above normal. Meanwhile, just up the road, Bartlesville is one of the few locations in the state that is below normal on rainfall so far; although only by about ¼”.

The next map shows the rainfall totals across the state over the course of the last 30 days and, obviously, it has been substantial for many locations, with flooding still an issue for some of the lakes and drainage basins. Speaking of which, flood watches have been issued for much of the state once again and will be valid through Sunday morning.

Another round of showers/storms is expected to be developing out west during the afternoon hours of Saturday and reaching this side of the state after dark. Not only will there be the potential for locally heavy rainfall, but there will also be a severe weather threat with those storms as well.

Cannot rule out the possibility of a few showers also occurring by early Saturday morning as some left over activity may drift this way, but that is not expected to amount to much. However, we will certainly keep the mostly cloudy skies, brisk southerly winds, and very warm, humid conditions right on through Sunday.

Since Saturday night will likely be the most active period, some showers/storms may linger into the morning hours of Sunday. As that activity drifts on eastward and weakens, there will also be the possibility of another round of showers/storms reforming that afternoon along a weak boundary. That boundary should finally be pushing across the state during the day Monday with another chance of a few showers/storms. But, the winds will be shifting to northerly behind the boundary which should give us at least a brief reprieve as we go into the day Tuesday.

As you can see on our forecast page, temperatures will be somewhat milder for much of the rest of next week with a more easterly wind flow and mostly cloudy skies continuing. There will also be another series of systems moving our way, bringing additional chances of showers/storms by mid-week and quite likely continuing through the following weekend.

Notice the 7 day QPF map which would include the anticipated rainfall for this weekend and the beginnings of the next round for the middle to latter part of next week and the bull's-eye is once again over the Central Plains, including OK.

As you can see on the 8-14 day outlook map, an active weather pattern will likely persist right on through the end of the month. That is not to say that it will rain every day, but as has been the case lately, any breaks in our daily dousings will be rather short-lived.

So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot

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