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Friday Morning Update

Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Spotty AM Showers And Cooler Air

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Alan Crone Alan Crone

The cold front is located near the metro at the 3am hour and will continue moving quickly southward this morning.   Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity is located well behind the boundary and will remain across part of southern Kansas and northern OK for the next few hours.   A few additional areas of showers and storms will migrate southward behind the southward moving front until the late morning hours.  The wind shift should be moving past the McAlester to Ft. Smith line around 6AM to 8AM.   Cloudy and cool weather will persist for the morning hours with some scattered shower activity with some embedded thunder.   No severe weather will occur, but enough instability will exist for some cloud to ground lighting and small hail with the stronger cells.   The clouds will begin clearing out by midday to afternoon revealing partly to mostly sunny conditions and temperatures in the lower to mid-70s.   Northeast winds at 10 to 15 mph will be likely for a few hours behind the front.   Friday night football appears cool and dry with games starting in the 60s and ending in the upper 50s.  

The weekend weather also looks nice.   A few showers may occur Saturday across far western Ok but as this move eastward, they should despite and not survive the trip into eastern OK.   We’ll experience dry and cool weather Saturday morning with lows in the mid to upper 40s and highs in the upper 70s north and lower 80s south.   Weather in Dallas for the OU-TX game will be in good shape with 75 during the 1st quarter and ending around 82 for the end of the game.   North winds at 10 mph will be likely.  

Sunday the pattern will quickly support increasing temperatures with morning lows in the mid and upper 50s.  Daytime highs may reach the upper 80s north and the lower 90s south with southwest winds at 10 to 15 mph and mostly sunny conditions.   The 4K NAM is generating a few showers early Sunday near the area as moisture attempts a fast return, but this seems unlikely.   I’ll refrain from any precip additions for Sunday at this point, but we’ll watch the next few runs closely .

Monday and Tuesday the data continue supporting another frontal passage with a minor cool down.   The air-mass behind the Monday morning front appears to be more of a Pacific origin than a  Canadian blend.   This means the highs will drop Monday to around 80 and into the upper 70s Tuesday.   The ensemble data is a few degrees cooler, but we’re comfortable with our numbers at this point in the forecast cycle.  The atmosphere appears to be too dry to support any “real” precip with the Monday front other than a few sprinkles.  

Thanks for reading the Friday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

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