Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Roller Coaster Temperatures

Warmer air will attempt to move across part but not all of the state today.   Some locations across eastern OK may stay in the 50s for highs while areas near and west of Tulsa could see some 60s.   

We’ve had quite a bit of variability in run to run data regarding the end of the week into the weekend.   But we’re going to continue with our current forecast “trends” of a warming trend today before the first of several cold fronts will move across the area bringing some cooler and even colder air back to the state.    Temperatures this morning should start in the 20s and end in the lower and mid-60s near Tulsa to the I-35 area.   Locations across far eastern OK may stay in the upper to mid-50s for daytime highs.  Winds will be from the southwest for most of the afternoon around 10 to 20 mph.  

The fire danger will remain elevated across the area today as warmer air attempts to spread across part of central OK.  

Counties included in the Fire Weather Watch include Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa and Washington.  

Weather Alerts - Fire Weather Watch

Later tonight the first of three fronts will slide across the area.   Much colder air is positioned across the Midwest through the Missouri Valley region.   Some of this colder air wills back-door into our area with highs Thursday in the upper 40s and lower 50s.   North to northwest winds at 15 mph will be likely.   

Friday morning a fast return of southerly surface winds will allow lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s to move into the upper 50s or lower 60s by the afternoon with sunshine and light winds.   But late Friday night the 2nd cold front will arrive bringing another colder air mass into the state.   This should knock the Saturday lows in the lower or mid-20s with highs only in the mid-40s.   

Sunday a strong looking short wave aloft will be nearing the state.   A fast developing surface area of low pressure should form across northwestern OK Sunday morning and move eastward by the late afternoon or evening period.   East to southeast winds will quickly develop and increase speeds in the 15 to 25 mph range.   The temperatures for Sunday remain “tricky” but we have sided with the “warmer” side of guidance with highs in the lower to mid-50s.   Some data remain much colder with highs only in the lower to mid-40s.    Sunday night the short wave will pass overnight with a chance for a few showers.   Low level moisture is expected to remain of poor quality and our chances will remain quite limited. 

Next week’s long range data is supporting a warm-up for a few days.   We could see some upper 60s and lower 70s by the middle to end of next week.

The roller-coaster ride of up and down temperatures will be underway soon.

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone