TULSA, Oklahoma - Once again we’ll be in the running for a few scattered showers and storms across eastern Oklahoma.   And like yesterday, some folks will have heavy downpours while others will miss-out on the rainfall.   Temps are mild this morning and will be a few degrees cooler than yesterday’s highs.   We’ll more than likely top-out in the lower 80s for most spots across eastern Oklahoma.  I place 84 on the big map for the metro.   Locations across northern and eastern Oklahoma may experience some patchy fog for a few hours this morning along with some heavy dew on surfaces. 

The mid-upper trough is located to our southwest this morning and will slowly move east to northeast over the next 36 hours before exiting the region sometime Sunday.   This means we’ll continue to keep a chance for scattered showers and storms in the forecast for today and both Saturday and part of Sunday.  The coverage should remain spotty today with the highest chances across southwestern and south-central Oklahoma nearing the central part of the state by afternoon and evening.   But we’ll also have some thunderstorm activity across the eastern half but a lower coverage compared to our neighbors. 

Saturday midday to afternoon the potential for more widely scattered showers and storms will blossom a little more across the eastern third of the state and should represent our highest chance for most locations.   The difference in the data today is to keep a decent chance for some activity into Sunday, but I’m inclined to keep the better chances mostly south and east by midday to afternoon.    I’ll not make a lot of changes for the Sunday period but will technically have a slightly higher pop Sunday than I had yesterday for the update. 

Monday into a few days next week the pattern will be transitioning to a north to northwest flow pattern which may bring several disturbances and storm complexes into the state from the northwest to southeast.   This typical early summer pattern will persist for most of the week.   Warm weather will remain with lows in the 60s and highs near 90 Monday and into the 80s Tuesday and Wednesday.   Tuesday most data suggest a back-door front will move from the Missouri Valley into at least northeastern Oklahoma bringing northwest winds and slightly drier air for a day or two next week.   The flow will become more pronounced from the northwest by late next week with increasing rain and storm chances around Thursday or Friday late next week.

Our main threats both today and this weekend will be pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall along with some potentially strong to severe wind gusts with the strongest storms.

Thanks for reading the Thursday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone