Rain Gear Today: Alan Crone's Weather Blog
TULSA, Oklahoma - We’re in the beginning stages of another roller coaster ride regarding weather for the week. We’ll deal with fog and showers this morning before a front brings some thunder across part of the area tonight.
The sunshine returns tomorrow after a chilly start with highs back into the lower 50s along with northwest winds from 15 to 25 mph, but wind speeds will increase even more Wednesday into Thursday helping to bring warmer weather into the state.
Highs Wednesday should reach the mid-60s and nearing the lower 70s Thursday before another strong front rolls across the area late Thursday night bringing cold weather back to eastern OK Friday through early next week. Early indications point toward a developing winter system Sunday into early next week.
Our visibilities have been low this morning with some spots reporting ½ mile or less between the 2 a.m. and 5 a.m. period. But as showers have populated eastern OK, visibilities have improved greatly with most spots now around the 4- to 6-mile range.
Keep the rain gear for the morning hours. We should get a break around midday to early afternoon for the metro before additional showers and storms will be possible this evening as the cold front passes due to long wave trough pushing across the central part of the nation. Heaviest rainfall should be focused across southeastern and east central OK this morning through midday.
A few thunderstorms will be possible along the front tonight between the 7pm and 2am period. We’re not anticipating severe storms, but a few storms may produce some small hail this evening if low level moisture returns more northward than anticipated.
The colder air will move across the area overnight with temperatures dropping into the upper 20s and lower 30s across northeastern OK and the mid-30s to the south.
Most, if not all the moisture should be exiting the state before the deeper colder air arrives. But if the moisture lingers longer than anticipated, a small area of wintry mix would be possible pre-dawn tomorrow across extreme eastern OK and western Arkansas. This chance remains low.
Tomorrow the sunshine should return along with gusty northwest winds around 15 to 25 mph for a few hours’ midday. Afternoon highs should reach the lower or even mid-50s.
A warming trend is likely to continue Wednesday through Thursday with southwest surface winds helping to dry us out and warm us up. Highs Wednesday will reach the lower to mid-60s and nearing the lower 70s Thursday. Southwest winds Wednesday could be from 15 to 30 mph and Thursday from 20 to 35 mph. The fire danger may also increase some, more so Thursday with the stronger winds and drying component to the atmosphere.
Thursday night into Friday the pattern will change again and could bring some active weather into the state by Sunday, or early next week with much colder weather likely for the region. A strong upper level trough will move from southern Canada into the upper Midwest Thursday into Friday helping to shove colder air southward through part of the nation.
We’ll get a taste of this colder air Friday into the weekend and early next week. The upper air pattern will quickly change this weekend back to the southwest with the colder air at the surface remaining across the state. This pattern typically brings wintry precipitation chances to the state as moisture moves up and over the colder air. At this point, our chances for any wintry weather would begin Sunday and continue Monday.
Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a great day!