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Alan's Monday Mid-Morning Weather

Updated:
From 9:53AM:
Our forecast remains on track for the next few days. Most locations should remain dry for most of the time period, but there’s a slight chance of a shower or two before our attention turns to the upcoming weekend.

Dean continues to move basically west as a dangerous hurricane. The storm may reach category five status this afternoon before slamming into the Yucatan Peninsula soon.
The latest track and forecast from the National Hurricane Center keeps significant impact of the storm well south of the Texas Gulf Coast areas. Needless to say, everyone in the Gulf will watch carefully for any changes.

Katie will be in the office from noon to early afternoon, and then Travis will have the evening. Check back soon for more updates.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV


From 3:08 AM:

Good Morning.

What a bizarre weekend regarding our weather. The old Erin circulation gained new life and energy and caused all kinds of issues for portions of Oklahoma. Flash flooding, highs winds, and even a few tornadoes occurred. The circulation, as a depression, had been in West TX for almost 2 days before moving across the state Saturday and Sunday. Early Sunday morning the system actually reflected an “eye” signature in radar reflectivity data near the Oklahoma City area. Sustained winds Sunday morning across central OK ranged from 35mph to near 50 mph with gusts near 84 mph recorded at Watonga before the equipment stopped working.

Serious flooding occurred from west of OKC near Kingfisher to south of Tulsa near Okmulgee and Muskogee. A few locations received 8 to 10 inches of rain. Tulsa international recorded just under a quarter of an inch. If you haven’t viewed the rescue footage our that KWTV and SKYNEWS9 pilot Mason Dunn captured as an Oklahoma Highway Patrol helicopter plucked victims from flood waters, you can find that in the video section of our web page. It’s pretty amazing.

The circulation is to our northeast this morning and most of the showers and storms will also be to our northeast. I have continued a slight mention of storms today for the areas generally east of Tulsa. Clouds should thin out to mostly sunny conditions later today, but with the low level and mid level moisture still in place, we should have periods of clouds in the mix also. Highs will top out near normal with most locations in the lower to mid 90s.

The next few days offer normal temperatures and an upper air flow that will support a system getting closer Wednesday and Thursday. This will stay north of us into Northern Kansas, but Wednesday evening into Thursday morning low level moisture will advect into the area and a few overnight storms may form. I have included a slight pop for this time period.

The next boundary will more than likely arrive sometime Saturday with a decent chance of storms. I have kept the Friday mention of storms from yesterdays forecast, but the better time period should be Saturday for the frontal passage.

Dean continues to gain some energy. The hurricanes path seems to be centered into the Yucatan soon and then into eastern Mexico, just south of the U.S. and Texas gulf coast area. The path could still change, but model consensus seems to point toward this solution. The National Hurricane Center official forecast has been very consistent from day to day.

Alan Crone
KOTV
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