Chilly Temps When Front Arrives In Northeast Oklahoma

We’re tracking another front arriving today but the main impact of this system will be felt later tonight with chilly conditions spreading across eastern OK and continuing through Tuesday.   South winds are likely today until the front moves across the area this afternoon when northwest winds will increase at 10 to 15 mph.   Highs this afternoon should reach the lower 60s north and the mid to upper 60s south.   We’ll track yet another cold front for the end of the week and the potential for some precipitation this weekend near the state.

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The weather looks good this morning for most spots with a few clouds and chilly conditions across eastern OK.   Temperatures will start this morning in the mostly in the lower 40s before moving into the lower 60s by the afternoon, including the Tulsa metro, with mostly sunny conditions through the late day.   The front will move across the area this afternoon and will bring a chilly air mass into the region that will stick round Wednesday with lows in the lower 30s and highs in the upper 40s or lower 50s.  

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Thursday will feature the boundary either across far northern OK or southern Kansas.  This means we’ll experience a light south wind for most of Thursday with some sunshine and highs in the mid-50s.   Another upper level trough will move across the upper Midwest later this week and this will effectively shove the front southward Thursday night into Friday.   Cooler air will arrive with Friday morning lows in the lower 30s and highs in the lower 50s.   As we slide into the weekend, another storm system may be nearing the region.

The big issue regarding the weekend pattern is now starting to converge on a believable solution but the GFS and EURO continue to have some differences with upper air features for this period.   Yesterday, the EURO was suggesting the main upper closed low would swing across the state this weekend with rain and snow chances while the GFS was digging a closed low southward across the southwestern U.S.   The GFS would bring us a chance for some showers Saturday with chilly air and mostly dry and cool Sunday.   The EURO would bring wet conditions to the state Saturday with highs in the 40s followed by some wintry weather precipitation chances Sunday with highs in the 30s.  

WARN Interactive Radar

The last few runs continue keeping the GFS solution with the main closed low to the southwest for most of the weekend before sliding across Texas early next week.   The EURO does bring a trough across the state Sunday into Monday, but this is not the closed low from yesterday but more of a progressive open wave.  We still have low confidence regarding this part of the forecast.  But our forecast will remain intact:  a chance for some showers this weekend will remain low at this point with chilly conditions Saturday and highs in the 50s Sunday.   We’re keeping any mention of wintry precip out of the forecast again.

We still have a few days to debate the models and hopefully a few days for some consensus to appear in the data.  

Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone