Another warm morning is underway with metro temps in the lower 70s and a few outlying areas into the upper 60.  Other than a few areas of patchy fog, the morning will be relatively mild and uneventful from a weather standpoint.   Highs this afternoon will reach the lower to mid-90s with heat index values nearing 100.  These same conditions will persist for the next three days along with the chance for a spotty afternoon shower or two during peak afternoon heating with chances remaining near or below 10% for the region.  The 2nd half of the week should feature some increasing storm chances along with a minor reduction in temperature due to increasing cloud cover.

 We’re a week away from the autumnal equinox.  But the pattern remains very summerlike for the next few days.  The upper air pattern will bring another system across the northern high plains later this week while a tropical wave currently across the Gulf of Mexico may spread moisture northward by the end of the week.  These two features will keep a chance for showers and storms in the forecast beginning Thursday for a few folks and increasing chances into the weekend for eastern OK.  The additional cloud cover associated with the moisture will act to keep highs down into the 80s by Friday and this weekend.  Some data suggest a surface cold front will be approaching the southern plains Saturday evening into Sunday while other data keeps this boundary to our north.  We’ll hold-off bringing the front through the area for now, but if we eventually do add this frontal boundary into the mix, it would bring a wind shift Saturday evening with a noticeable cool-down Sunday.  Again, at this point, I’m keeping this front to our north for the weekend but will have shower and storm chances due to the moisture streaming from the Gulf into the region.

Thanks for reading the abbreviated Monday morning weather blog and discussion.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone