The battle between the mid-level ridge and the storm system near and north of the state will play-out for the next few days. The ridge eventually wins. But there will be some scattered showers and storms brushing the northern sections of the state into southeastern Kansas for the next few days. Highs this afternoon will remain in the lower to mid-80s north and mid to upper 80s south. Northeast winds should remain around 10 to 15 mph.
We’ll begin this morning with a few showers moving eastward out of northwestern Oklahoma. Once they cross the I-35 corridor region, they should tend to weaken or eventually dissipate. Locations south of the metro, mostly around the I-40 corridor region should remain void of precip this morning, and possibly even Thursday while the northern sections into southern Kansas will have the slightly better chances Thursday. A few dissipating showers or storms may sink into northern Oklahoma Friday morning for a few hours, yet the odds will remain very low.
The mid-level ridge is strongest across Texas with the northern periphery positioned across southwestern Oklahoma into the central portion of the state. The narrow window or pathway will exist along the northern edge of the ridge. Meanwhile the main upper level dynamics will remain well north of the state. The upper level trough will eject out of the Montana region and drive eastward into the Dakotas by Thursday night and moving across the Great Lakes Friday into the weekend. The ridge will begin expanding during this period with warm and humid air moving back across the state from the southwest to northeast. This means that summer like weather will make a return this weekend and probably continues for most, if not all next week.
In summary: A few showers or storms will remain in the forecast this morning, and later this afternoon across the northern third of the state into southern Kansas. Severe weather is unlikely and not anticipated. Additional rain and storm chances will arrive later tonight into Thursday morning, and possible Friday morning across part of the northern sections of the state.
Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.