We're still looking at temps above the seasonal average for the rest of the week but there will be some lower readings today and more so Wednesday as a few showers and storms will be in our forecast. We'll need to keep a very low mention Thursday and Friday with some higher chances for part of late Friday night into Saturday morning and then also later in the weekend.
A strong fall front will move across the area sometime this weekend and eventually bring cooler air back to the state. While the data does have some differences compared to yesterday at this hour, I’m sticking with this current line of thinking. At least for now!
We're tracking the potential for a few showers early this morning as low-level moisture continues to stream back into the state along with gusty southeast winds around 15 to 20 mph. This activity is expected to remain rather sparse for the next few hours but additional activity may pick-up later this evening as a weak front enters southeastern Kansas and attempts to stall near the northern Oklahoma state line region. The coverage for shower and thunderstorm activity should increase later this evening into Wednesday, more so across the northern sections, closer to the surface boundary.
This front will retreat northward Thursday morning taking more of the active weather out of our area. Friday night into Saturday morning the front should get a little shove southward with additional storms developing along the boundary. The current timing supports this mainly after Friday night football games but this may be close.
Saturday morning to midday a few storms may also be close by as the front briefly passes into northern Oklahoma before stalling again and lifting northward late Saturday evening into Sunday morning.
Sunday morning a few storms may be possible as the front lifts northward before the front finally moves southward Sunday night into Monday morning with additional storms chances. Once the front finally passes the area early Monday morning, we should experience some more fall-like temps for several days next week. Most of the data would support a very dry and cool air mass settling across the state for most of next week.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.