Monday, November 14th 2016, 4:03 am
Good morning. After a chilly start, temperatures will warm today into the upper 60s or a few lower 70s with sunshine after some morning to midday clouds.
A noticeable warming trend will occur for the middle of the week before a strong cold front arrives Friday bringing sharply colder air for the weekend. A weak system is brushing the state today and may produce a few isolated showers or storms across extreme southeastern or eastern OK.
The upper air flow will become quite active for the next 10 days and this will bring one system across the area today but a much stronger storm system across the area by the end of the week. A weak wind shift will occur today with temperatures this afternoon topping out in the upper 60s or low 70s.
Sunshine and pleasant weather will be anticipated for almost all areas but a mid-level cloud deck will be likely this morning through midday as the weak upper level trough moves across NE OK. A weak front, currently across NW OK this morning, will move across the area later today.
Some short-term data support a few isolated showers or storms attempting to form across far southeastern or eastern OK. This chance will remain very low but not zero.
A strong storm system will be arriving Thursday and Friday in the upper levels of the atmosphere and this will bring strong south winds across the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Low level moisture will attempt to return across Eastern Oklahoma in advance of this storm system but current indications will only bring a slight chance of showers or storms across the area with the frontal passage early Friday morning to midday.
As the storm system passes the area Friday, much colder air will arrive Friday night and continued through most of the weekend. The coldest part of the weekend will be Sunday morning when clear sky, dry air, and light wind will combine to produce a widespread freeze across Eastern Oklahoma.
Temperatures today will climb into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Morning lows will continue to be cool both Tuesday and Wednesday, but stronger south winds will increase the daytime highs into the mid or even upper 70s by Wednesday and Thursday.
Strong south winds are likely Wednesday and especially Thursday across Eastern Oklahoma and advance of this powerful storm system that will roll across the area sometime Friday.
Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!
Alan Crone
November 14th, 2016
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