It’s been an interesting 36 hours across the area regarding our weather. And this morning we’re tracking another complex of thunderstorm activity across the central and southern part of the state. A few storms are also located across the northern third of the state. Some of the storms may be severe with damaging winds the main threat but the overall coverage of severe storms should be relatively low.
After this morning’s complex slides east and southeast, we may have one last round of storms moving into the state later tonight into Saturday before the mid-level ridge of high pressure begins to expand. This will effectively shut off the precip chances and bring the heat back to the state, including eastern OK. The recent rainfall, green vegetation, and continuing influence of a tropical-like atmosphere should yield temperature heat index values near 105 to 110 degrees. The actual temperatures may reach 100 by Wednesday through the end of the week.
Temperatures this morning will move from the upper 60s and lower 70s into the upper 80s across the northern regions. Variable winds around 10 mph will be possible this morning and from the southeast later today. The current storm activity should continue to gradually weaken as the morning progresses. By the time most folks read this post, storms will be dropping from the radar.
Later tonight another storm complex may approach northern OK from southern and central Kansas. The data is not consistent with this signal but the upper pattern and surface boundary may support this scenario. If storms do form later tonight a few severe storms may again remain possible with damaging wind issues. The better trajectory for this possible MCS would stay slightly west of northeastern OK but a few storms would be possible. Additionally a small MCV may be located across southeastern or east central OK this afternoon and may also trigger a few storms across these areas later today.
Saturday the mid-level ridge (currently southwest of the area) will expand northeast. A few storms may develop Saturday across far northeastern OK but would eventually lift northeast as the ridge expands. Daytime highs Saturday in the lower to mid-90s will be likely with heat index values near 100.
Sunday the morning low in the mid to upper 70s will be followed by highs in the mid or upper 90s along with southeast winds at 10 to 15 mph. The mid-level ridge should be the dominate feature for most of next week with lows in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Highs in the upper 90s near 100 will be likely along with heat index values near 105 to 110 from Wednesday through the end of the week. As mentioned here a few days ago, the expansion of the ridge may only last for a week. We could be back to a northwest flow by the last week in July. Strange indeed.
Thanks for reading the Friday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a great day!