The weather will remain active for the next few days with several additional chances for showers and storms. A cold front will near the state this afternoon and evening with increasing thunderstorm potential through Wednesday. A few storms that developed yesterday across the high plains may attempt to move into the area this morning but the better time may be early afternoon. This active pattern will remain through the end of the week before a ridge of high pressure will arrive with dry and stable air preventing thunderstorm development.
The main upper air pattern is taking a major upper level trough across the northern high plains today while a surface front is progressing southward into the state. Another smaller upper level low will develop and persist south of the state for the end of the week and this will keep some mention of showers and storms in the forecast, mainly for the southern sections, Thursday through possibly Saturday. The main short-term focus will continue to be the cold front arriving later this afternoon and tonight.
We’ll start a chance for showers and storms later this morning and continue that chance into the afternoon and early evening.
Showers and storms are likely to develop later today across part of western and central OK in advance of the front. Some of these will move into our area by late afternoon and evening while the surface front moves southward. Later tonight, additional showers and storms are possible that may persist across part of the area Wednesday morning to midday. The front is expected to stall in the vicinity of the Red River Valley Wednesday night into Thursday while the above mentioned southern stream upper low develops. This will keep some active weather near the frontal zone for the end of the week. While most of this activity is expected to remain south of the metro, we’ll need to keep a chance for showers and storms for the end of the week with higher chances across southern OK. This means we’ll have a pop on the 7 day through Saturday.
Friday and Saturday a mid-level ridge of high pressure is likely to develop to our west and begin expanding eastward near the state this weekend. This should bring a few days of pleasant and dry weather to the area with seasonal temperatures Sunday into early next week. This pattern will also develop a northerly or northwesterly upper air flow across the state early next week which is right on cue with a typical start to June. The extended data does, however, bring one more southwesterly flow system into the area by the 2nd week of June.
Temperatures today are expected to move into the upper 70s and lower 80s along with south winds near 10 mph with partly to mostly cloudy conditions.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!