Warm and humid conditions with above seasonal temperatures will be in the forecast the entire week and into the near foreseeable future as a surface ridge of high pressure to our east and a trough in the mid-levels to our west will keep the moisture across the region. Periodic storms will be possible for the next few days, including the threat of severe weather, but the exact timing may be problematic.
The only day with a low chance will be Wednesday. The main trough to the west will eject into the central plains late this week and storm chances may increase as the process occurs. We’ll have a chance of showers and storms this morning, and then again late tonight into Tuesday morning.
A surface low to our west will keep a dry line positioned across the far western part of the state for the next few days. Scattered storms will be likely along and ahead of the dry line almost every day and a few of these will migrate eastward during the late day and early morning periods. While the dry line will remain well west of the immediate areas, the threat for storms will remain in our forecast. Some storms may also develop small clusters (MCS) and move into the area during the late night and pre-dawn to early morning periods. One such cluster is moving across far southern OK this morning. Another MCS may occur Tuesday morning.
This active weather will remain for the next few days, and may also continue into part of the weekend despite the ejection of the main low into the central plains Friday and Saturday even though the chances will drop this weekend to 20 percent.
Lows level moisture in the form of 60 to 70 dew points will also keep us quite muggy with lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s and highs in the mid to upper 80s. Any storms during the afternoon will create rain cooled areas.
Thanks for reading the abbreviated version of the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!