Alan Crone's Weather Blog: One More System, Then Warm Up

Wednesday, May 18th 2016, 4:20 am

The cool weather pattern will remain for the next few days before a warming trend enters our area this weekend and continues all of next week.   A few showers are possible today across far southern OK,  but another broader chance for precipitation will occur Thursday for locations near and south of the metro.   Highs today will be in the upper 60s or lower 70s along with northeast winds and mostly cloudy conditions.  Some data suggest a few breaks by afternoon before more clouds move across the area tonight.   I’ll include a mention for some breaks later today but this may be overdone in the data.  

Temperatures will remain cool for the early morning hours.

WARN Interactive Radar

A few showers will move across southern OK and north TX this morning.   We’ll keep a slight chance in the forecast for these areas as most, it not all, will remain well south of the metro and northern OK.   Another upper level low, currently across the southwestern US, will quickly lift northeast across north TX into southern OK Wednesday night into Thursday providing additional showers and storms for at least the southern half of the state.   The locations from I-40 northward will have a 40% to 50% chance of precipitation with locations south of I-40 likely to experience the activity.   This activity may be very spotty across the northern sections.   The heaviest precipitation should stay along or south of the Red River Valley.  Any severe weather threats with this system will remain across Texas.   This wave will exit the area early Friday morning with a few showers or storms lingering across eastern OK during the morning hours.  

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The weekend will feature warmer and dry conditions with highs moving into the lower 80s Saturday and the mid-80s Sunday and Monday.   The upper air pattern will be transitioning this weekend from a northwest flow to a southwesterly flow for most of next week.   This will bring warmer air back to the southern plains all of next week with periodic shower and thunderstorm chances.   A typical May pattern will develop with a surface low anchored across southeastern Colorado and a dry line extending into western OK.   South winds will bring low level moisture back into the region with almost daily storm chances for eastern OK as storms develop along the dry line and attempt to migrate into our area.   Climatology and the anticipated pattern will lend itself to some severe weather threats.

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone