The active pattern will remain with additional rain and thunderstorm chances in the forecast through Wednesday night before drying out and warming up Thursday evening into the weekend. Our next system would follow Sunday night into Monday. Temperatures this morning will start in upper 50s and end with highs in the upper 60s near 70. Rain and storms will remain in the forecast.
The next in a series of upper air disturbances is lifting out around the base of the main trough still positioned across the 4 corners area this morning. This disturbance will ride northeast along a stalled boundary located across the central to eastern sections of the state, roughly along the I-44 region, and will allow for more rain and possibly thunderstorms today and this afternoon. The upper low will eject into the central plains Wednesday but a disturbance rotating around the base of the trough will enter Oklahoma Wednesday with additional showers and storms before exiting the state late Wednesday night into pre-dawn Thursday.
The timing today will support some morning showers that may blossom along the boundary with rain and possibly a few rumbles of thunder developing from south central OK and advancing northeast. This batch will move out of the region by late this afternoon. Some additional showers or storms may develop to our west late tonight and move eastward into the area overnight into Wednesday morning. Additional storms may develop Wednesday afternoon and evening as a disturbance dives southwest across the state. Model data has varying solutions regarding exact placement and timing of these storm chances.
Thursday and Friday the morning lows in the lower 50s will be followed by highs near 76 along with northeast winds Friday and south winds returning Saturday in advance of another strong looking storm system that will develop by the 2nd half of the weekend resulting in thunderstorm chances Sunday into Monday. The early look will support severe storms across part of eastern OK with this system.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.