Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Tracking A Wet Easter Morning

Friday, March 25th 2016, 4:05 am
By: Alan Crone

Good morning.   Temperatures will be near and slightly below freezing across part of northeastern OK this morning with Freeze warnings underway until 8am.   The metro temperatures may stay slightly above freezing.    South winds return today around 10 to 15 mph with mostly sunny conditions until later this afternoon when clouds will begin arriving from the west as our next system draws near the state.   Highs this afternoon will be in the upper 60s north and a few lower 70s south.  Active weather will remain with a slight chance of showers late tonight into Saturday morning across far northern OK and southern Kansas.    This time period ( for our immediate area) will be from 2am to 8am Saturday morning.   Most of Saturday will be precip free for most of eastern OK after the early morning hours.   Daytime highs will move into the lower 70s with partly sunny conditions and southeast winds around 10 to 20 mph.   Higher rain and thunder chances will continue late Saturday night into Easter Sunday morning as a storm system moves across the southern plains.   A front will be elongated along the I-44 corridor Saturday night as a surface low moves across either north TX or far southern OK.   A few strong storms may be possible across southwestern OK into the Red River Valley locations, but severe weather is not expected across northeastern OK Sunday morning.   Some lightning and thunder will be possible.

This Sunday system will bring cooler air back to the state with lows in the mid-40s and highs only in the lower to mid-50s with north winds at 10 to 20 mph.    

Monday starts with lows in the mid to upper 30s and highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s along with south winds returning around 10 to 15 mph.    Low level moisture will remain suppressed to the south Monday but will quickly stream northward Tuesday with strong south winds and increasing temperatures.   Tuesday morning lows in the mid-40s will be followed by highs in the mid-70s.

A strong storm system will approach the area for the middle of next week.   The pattern would support another chance for strong to severe storms but the exact timing (best day) for storm chances will remain rather nebulous at this hour.   GFS data is faster and EURO is slower.   This means our storm chances will start Wednesday and continue into Thursday.  

As stated yesterday, some of the index and longer range data support a cool-down late next week into early April across part of the nation.   It’s unclear how far south this air-mass will move, but our temperatures will be near or below average late next week. 

Thanks for reading the Friday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone