Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Preview Of Spring This Week

The weather pattern will transition from the northwesterly flow to more of westerly or even southwesterly flow by the end of the week.   The end result will be a big warming trend into the 70s with increasing south winds by Wednesday and Thursday.   The fire danger unfortunately may become very high, if not extreme, for part of the state by the middle to end of the week.   A weak system will pass the area today and also Tuesday, and then a stronger system will be nearing Oklahoma next weekend with a limited chance for showers and storms.   Highs today should move into the 60s with some sunshine after some morning clouds and fog.   This morning some lingering showers will be likely cross far southeastern OK but this activity will quickly exit the state this morning.   We could have a sprinkle or two early this morning across northern OK but the odds are extremely low.

Temperatures this morning will start in mid-30s and lower 40s across eastern OK with the metro readings into the upper 30s.   Highs this afternoon will top out in the lower to mid-60s with northwest winds around 15 mph before shifting to the south-southwest later tonight.   Tuesday northwest winds will prevail with lows in the 40s and highs again from 65 to 70 across northeastern OK.   Wednesday morning should feature lows in the lower to mid-30 and highs in lower 70s. 

Thursday south to southwest winds will return at 20 to 30 mph.   Temperatures will begin warming across eastern OK with morning lows in the 40s and highs nearing 80.   Friday morning starts in the mid to upper 40s and should feature highs in the mid-70s.   Southwest winds will shift out of the northwest Friday at 15 to 30 mph. The fire danger will be high to near extreme by the end of the week across the entire state.

This weekend a stronger upper level wave will approach the region bringing a cold front into the state.   Some showers and storms will be likely but the exact locations will remain rather nebulous at this point in the forecast cycle.   I’m inclined at this point to keep the higher chances regulated across the southern and southeastern portions of the state closer to the expectation of deeper moisture.   We’ll keep a 10 pop Saturday and only a 20% for Sunday until we see some deeper moisture heading in our direction.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV