We've had an active weekend with early morning systems bringing rain and storms across the area. This morning the front that moved across the area yesterday is still located near southern OK with a few showers and storms near and north of this feature. This boundary will continue to move southward during the next few hours. A few showers may linger near the I-40 region for the next hour or two before dissipating or moving southeast out of the area. The hi-resolution models indicate a small chance for a few showers near the highway 412 corridor this morning through midday. We’ll keep about a 10% chance in the forecast. The next disturbance that may bring a few showers and thunderstorms to the area will brush the region Thursday into Friday morning.
Temperatures are mild this morning with readings in the upper 50s and lower 60s along with mostly cloudy conditions. Daytime highs should move into the lower 80s and possible a few mid-80s with partly cloudy conditions and northeast winds around 10 mph. Not bad for the middle of August.
A mid-level ridge of high pressure is centered to our west this morning and is creating a weak northwest flow pattern near northern OK. A strong disturbance is expected to traverse the top of the ridge Tuesday and will eject out of the Colorado region Thursday morning. A surface area of low pressure will develop across either southeastern Colorado or Southwestern Kansas Tuesday as this process begins to unfold. Southeast winds will return and low level moisture will slowly increase across the eastern third of the state. This low may reside near southern Kansas for most of the middle to end of next week with a weak boundary across the central plains. The presence of the expected weather features will bring a chance for storms to part of northern OK and southern Kansas Thursday into Friday morning. We'll keep the chances around 20% for this forecast cycle but may need to increase the pops in subsequent updates.
Other than Tuesday morning, the temperatures will continue to slowly climb for both morning lows and daytime highs, but will remain below seasonal averages for the end of the week. Tomorrow mornings lows should drop into the mid-50s with some locations flirting with another record low for August. Lows in the upper 60s will be followed by highs in the upper 80s Wednesday through Friday with highs nearing 90 to 94 this weekend.
Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!