A disturbance will move across the central plains today including part of northern OK and southern Kansas. Scattered showers and storms will be possible for some locations across northeastern OK, including the Tulsa metro. Temperatures this morning will remain in the 70s and should end later today in the mid to upper 80s northern sections with some lower 90s across southeastern OK. Additional storm chances will reside later tonight and Wednesday for part of northeastern OK.
We're already tracking some storms this morning across the western sections of the region. These will move eastward during the next few hours and will impact part of the northeastern sections of Oklahoma about midday to early afternoon. A few strong storms may still be possible but the threat for severe weather will remain very low. Later this afternoon, a few additional storms could develop along residual outflows across the area with minimal daytime heating.
Some data indicates a surface front will slide southward later tonight and be positioned near northern OK Wednesday. Another storm complex may also develop across part of central Kansas later tonight and may move southeast into the northeastern part of the state overnight Wednesday. I'll keep a chance for some storms in the Wednesday forecast, including a window overnight into tomorrow morning, and another very low chance tomorrow afternoon. Storm chances Wednesday could be strong to near severe with some damaging wind gusts the primary issue.
There should be a surface flow somewhere near northern OK (lower chance) or south-central Kansas (better chance) along with a boundary near this feature. Where ever these features eventually reside, the chance for a few storms will also continue into the weekend. Yesterday both GFS and EURO data suggested our mid-level ridge of high pressure would grow back over the area with little to no rain chances and increasing temps near 99 to slightly over 100. This would keep any storm activity north or east of the state. Today the data continue to support the hot and dry conditions. We'll keep the weekend hot and dry at this point but will reserve the right to make some additions as we review the incoming weekend data.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!