Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Sunshine Returns To Eastern Oklahoma

Monday, May 11th 2015, 3:54 am
By: Alan Crone

We've had a very busy last few days, but our pattern will give us a short break before additional showers and storms will arrive Wednesday and Thursday.   After early this morning, we're in store for excellent weather this afternoon and Tuesday.   A few showers and storms may linger across extreme eastern or southeastern OK through 6am or so.   Even though rainfall is exiting the area, the flooding threat will continue across east-central OK until water recedes later this afternoon and tonight over low-water crossing areas and small creeks.   Rivers will continue to rise for the next few days.   Several area rivers are experiencing flood warnings.   Use caution when traveling for the day.   A number of rural roadways have been inundated with heavy rainfall.

Mesonet 3 day rain totals

Mesonet 7 day rain totals

Temperatures this morning remain in the 50s with a few clouds.    The pattern will bring northwest winds and drier air into the region later today along with some sunshine and highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s.   Tuesday morning temperatures will start in the upper 40s and end in the lower 70s with a northeast wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday night into Wednesday morning a disturbance in the southern stream will bring rain chances back into the state from the south to north by late in the afternoon.   This disturbance will move from the southwest to the northeast.   The front currently to our south will retreat northward as a warm front.   Southeast winds will increase across the area and a few showers and storms will break out near the area sometime Wednesday.   Model data seems to suggest Wednesday afternoon and evening into early Thursday morning as the favored time period for our pops.

Some pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall may still occur with this system, but the overall severe weather threat will again remain low.  

By the end of the week the pattern will bring a stronger upper level system near the central and southern plains and our severe weather chances will ramp back up into the weekend.   It appears a dry-line will establish to the west of the state and provide daily storm chances for Saturday and Sunday before a surface cold front passes the area early next week.   The severe weather threat will more than likely return for the weekend, but the exact parameters are yet to be known with any confidence. 

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone