Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Active Pattern Next Few Days

Thursday, April 16th 2015, 8:32 pm
By: News On 6

Although our day started off with some dense early morning fog, it quickly burned off and this has turned out to be a pretty nice day for E OK. The more western counties have had a much busier day though with all modes of severe weather developing this afternoon.

As you can see on the first map, severe thunderstorm or tornado watches were in effect from the Texas Gulf coast northward through W OK and into KS as of late this afternoon.

Fortunately for us, as those storms work their way eastward overnight, they will be weakening with only some lingering showers, or perhaps a rumble of thunder, by first thing Friday morning. However, the main storm center responsible for this unsettled pattern will be working its way rather slowly eastward over the next few days, and that will bring a better chance of showers and storms for E OK along with the potential for some to be severe.

Currently it appears we will have that slight chance of some left-over activity during the morning hours of Friday, followed by another round of heavier, potentially severe storms, forming to our west late in the day. Those storms will form closer to us and will have a better chance of making a run at us for late Friday or more likely during the overnight hours.

There will be some lingering showers and storms into the morning hours of Saturday, followed by redevelopment in our area that afternoon and evening and potentially some of those becoming severe.

A rather vigorous cold front will then arrive around mid-day Sunday with the potential for another round of storms, primarily for the more eastern counties and on into Arkansas. Some of those will also have the potential to become severe.

So, a rather unsettled pattern will prevail for the next several days and certainly advise keeping a close eye on the sky. Brisk SE winds will also maintain very warm, humid conditions with morning lows around 60 through Sunday morning and daytime highs well into the 70s to perhaps near 80. We will also have mostly cloudy skies each of the next several days.

However, cooler and much drier air will settle in behind the cool front, so that Sunday night and Monday will see clearing skies along with morning lows in the 40s by Monday and Tuesday mornings and daytime highs in the 60s for Monday and Tuesday.

That will be followed by another potentially unsettled pattern going into the latter part of next week. In fact, as you can see by the 8-14 day outlooks which take us through the end of April, the signal continues to suggest not only the potential for above normal precipitation but below normal temperatures during that time frame.

So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot