Nearing Record Highs This Weekend

Friday, October 24th 2014, 4:29 am

By: Alan Crone

Good morning. We're moving into an unseasonably warm weather pattern for the next few days with some locations approaching record highs this weekend. Our next cold front-storm system will move across the area Monday night into Tuesday morning with additional thunderstorm chances and some cooler air.

Yesterday's system brought some much needed rainfall to the eastern third of the state with clearing sky from the west to east by late in the afternoon. This morning we may see some patchy fog in the valleys due to yesterday morning's rainfall, but south breezes should keep temps off the local dews.

All available guidance points toward unseasonably warmer air rapidly moving and developing across the area today through the weekend. Afternoon highs today will move into the lower 80s with sunshine and light south winds. The weekend will feature morning lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s followed by highs in the upper 80s. I would not be surprised to see a 90 degree reading near the area.

A weak boundary or wind shift may slide southward into far northern OK Saturday midday but will have no impact on our sensible weather, other than to change the wind direction from south to east for a few hours.

Sunday the next system will begin dropping down into the Rockies and a surface area of low pressure will develop across Southeastern Colorado or Southwestern Kansas. Our wind speeds will increase from the south in the 15 to 30 mph range Sunday afternoon with low level moisture moving back into eastern OK and western Arkansas. A surface cold front will move southeast across the state sometime Monday evening or early Tuesday morning with showers and storms along and behind the boundary. The lack of deep layer shear and surface instability will limit the severe weather potential, but some strong storms producing non severe hail will be possible. The higher probability for showers or storms should reside across far NE OK and SE Kansas. This surface front appears to stall across southern OK with additional showers and storms possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning in these areas. Data converges by Thursday and Friday of next week. The EURO brings another wave southward with rain Thursday and more cool air for the end of the week. We'll keep Thursday dry at this point in the forecast cycle.

As the cold front passes Tuesday morning, gusty northeast winds will bring a cooler and drier air mass into the state for a few days. This means low temps in the upper 40s followed by afternoon highs in the upper 60s Tuesday and possibly Wednesday.

Thanks for reading the Friday Morning Weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day.

Alan Crone

KOTV