Wednesday Morning Update

Expect windy and warm conditions today with highs in the mid to upper 80s.  A stout cold front arrives Thursday bringing fall air back to the region Thursday afternoon through the weekend.  

The stratus cloud deck stuck around for most of Tuesday helping to keep our highs around the lower 80s near Tulsa with higher readings to the west where the clouds did clear out yesterday afternoon.  The data supports additional stratus this morning but it should thin later today allowing for highs in the mid to upper 80s.  The actual computer model numbers are in the upper 80s for Tulsa this afternoon.  Some 90s where reported yesterday across far northwestern OK.  Our south winds will continue to be strong in the 15 to 30 mph range this afternoon ahead of a strong cold front scheduled to arrive Thursday. 

The data continues to support the boundary moving into the Tulsa area anywhere from 10am to noon.  We think the faster frontal passage will be likely as these shallow cold air masses tend to arrive faster than models project. We'll call for the frontal passage in Tulsa between 9am and 10am. 

There will be a chance for some scattered showers or thunderstorm along the boundary but the data is unclear regarding the post frontal precipitation coverage for Friday morning.  EURO is now trending more toward the drier GFS and would suggest any Friday precipitation would more than likely occur either early Friday morning across northern OK and then shifting quickly southward across southeastern OK by Friday midday to early afternoon.  Strong north to northeast winds will quickly bring dry air to the state Friday afternoon at both the surface and mid-level layers.  This means our clouds will also clear from the north to south Friday afternoon allowing temps to drop into the 40s for Friday night football games.   

Saturday we're expecting clear and cold conditions for early morning with lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s.  Afternoon highs will reach the mid or upper 50s along with plentiful sunshine and north winds.  The OU-Notre Dame game should be spectacular regarding the weather with game time temps in the 50s with no rain and plenty of sun. 

Sunday morning the dry air and relatively cold air will allow temps to drop into the mid or upper 20s across extreme northern OK with lower 30s elsewhere.  Sunday afternoon highs will remain in the mid to upper 50s with north winds around 10 to 15 mph. 

The surface flow will result in east to southeast winds returning early next week with a modest warming trend.  Highs in the 60s will be common Monday with mid-70s Tuesday and Wednesday.   

Yesterday's high in Tulsa was 81 recorded at 2:25PM.   Our daily normal average high is 71 with the low of 48.  The daily record high is 89 from 2003 and a record low of 24 from 1917.

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Thanks for reading the morning blog.

Have a super great day!