Cloudy with Storms

We're tracking a cold front and an upper level system this morning that will bring a round of thunderstorms to the area today.  A few strong to severe storms will be likely across Texas this afternoon, with a few strong storms possible this morning through midday across Oklahoma. 

 Temperatures have not moved much overnight and will slowly be increasing today into the lower or mid 60s along with south winds around 15 to 25 mph.  Low level moisture will also move across the area in advance of the system setting the stage for the high probability of thunderstorms.  Scattered showers and drizzle is occurring this morning across the area.  

Two separate boundaries will interact with the area today.  A pacific type boundary will move from the west to the east around midday bringing a narrow line of thunderstorms to the area.  This line should be approaching the Tulsa area round 1pm and should be to our southeast by 4pm. The second boundary will actually bring the colder air to the region later tonight.  This boundary will more than likely move over the area around midnight to 1am Thursday morning and knock our highs back into the lower 50s Thursday afternoon.

A few showers or storms will be likely Thursday night into early Friday across the southeastern portion of the state, but this activity should remain southeast of Tulsa.  

 It appears the upper air pattern will remain active for the next week or slightly longer, including another stout looking storm system scheduled for the state by Sunday and Monday.  Extended model data supports some cold air wrapping around the back side of the system late Monday or early Tuesday with a threat of some wintry precipitation for these periods, mainly across northwestern OK.  

But, as the case has been for the last 2 months, the extended data has not been very good at all, and the solution for early next week will no doubt change, including the potential for major changes.  Stay tuned and we'll do the best we can as the system draws closer to the region. 

 Thanks again to Michael Grogan for filling in during the past two mornings.  I have stated a few times before in this blog how difficult the overnight and early morning hours can be for someone not accustomed to the sleep schedule.  Get some sleep and rest, and thanks again MG!

 Earthquakes:

A big one was detected:

Magnitude 7.1 - EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA