A Super Great Day Ahead

Thursday, November 10th 2011, 5:40 am
By: Alan Crone

The temps this morning have dropped into the lower 30s area wide and some frost is likely on the pumpkin and the windshields.  The afternoon highs will move into the lower 60s today with relatively light winds across northeastern OK.  Very little cloud cover is expected and this should be the best day of the week!   

The pattern will be progressive and this means another storm system will be approaching the area this weekend.  The first thing you'll notice will be an increase in wind speeds tomorrow and lasting through the weekend.  South to southwest winds tomorrow will be in the 15 to 25 mph range with some gusts near 30 mph by Saturday.  

The main upper level storm will be well west of the region Saturday, but a weak surface boundary may be able to ooze into the northern OK area Sunday morning before stalling near the I-44 corridor Sunday afternoon.   

Low level moisture will attempt to move back into the region Sunday evening into Monday, but the better trajectory will keep this moisture to our south and southeast.  We'll keep a chance of showers or storms mainly for the Monday time periods, but model data this morning is not consistent with the system.  The GFS is now a full day late (Tuesday pops) but the EURO is staying with a Monday system.  This is not unusual. The main upper level system is still off the west coast and will have a better chance to be sampled in the upper air data once it moves onshore. 

I think this mild but progressive pattern will remain for at least the next two weeks.  This means periods of cool air intrusions followed by mild warm ups and periodic chances for showers and storms about every 4 to 6 days.  


Another 3.2 mag quake was detected this morning at 2:36AM.  The location was about 13 miles NE of Shawnee.