Heating Up!

Saturday, September 10th 2011, 7:11 pm
By: News On 6

We have certainly enjoyed a nice break this past week with the cool mornings and mild afternoons. Unfortunately, there has not been much in the way of precipitation and the spotty showers and occasional thunder today has not made much difference either. Later this coming week will be a more active period for us and the QPF(Quantitative Precipitation Forecast) image on the right which is valid through Thursday morning shows we at least have a chance of rain although most of it will likely be in Kansas. As mentioned, this particular forecast goes through Thursday morning, but the longer range guidance also indicates we will have at least a chance of showers and thunder right on into the coming weekend. So, we may yet get enough to do some good.

In the meantime, summer weather will be making a brief return as we will be heating back up over the next few days. Sunday morning will get off to another cool start, but the sunny skies all day long and light northerly winds will allow temperatures to get back above normal during the afternoon. Mon and Tue will have southerly winds resulting in warmer nights and a return to hot afternoon temperatures. Daytime highs back into the 90s are expected for Monday and Tuesday and some locations in Oklahoma will likely see triple digits either or both days. I had said in the morning discussion that I did not think we had any more triple digits in our future, not so sure about that now. Some of the guidance certainly suggests that is a possibility and it will be close.

The timing of our next cool front will be the determining factor as it currently appears that the front will not reach the I-44 corridor till late in the day. The more northern counties should have at least some cooling from it during the afternoon but the more southern counties have a good shot at reaching triple digits before the day is over. So, timing will be everything in that respect.

Not much in the way of showers or storms are currently anticipated with the front itself, but post frontal precipitation is expected to become more widespread in the days that follow. The front looks like it will stall out near the Red River and remain more or less stationary just south of us for the rest of the week. Aloft, a series of weak disturbances are expected to move over the top keeping us with mostly cloudy skies and occasional periods of showers and possible storms. The E to NE surface winds, clouds, and chances of rain will also keep us cooler through the rest of the week.

Hopefully, by the time it is all said and done, the QPF mentioned above will turn out to be on the conservative side and we will have received more rainfall than it is suggesting.

In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot