I'm back in the saddle after a couple of days off. Thanks to Mike G. for taking over the morning duties so I could spend some time with my family. We've already started school in our district, so my time was spent getting kids to and from school, and just hanging out at home with my beautiful wife.
Our weather continues to be on the hot side with highs today approaching 100 as the mid level ridge is close enough to bring the heat back to the region but not close enough to totally take our rain chances to nil. We've tracked a few showers this morning across eastern and southern OK but this activity is expected to weaken soon as the low level jet also weakens.
The position of the ridge will be west of Tulsa and this will create a small northwest flow aloft over SE Kansas, NE OK, and SW Missouri for the next few days. At least two boundaries will take a run at the area Wednesday and Friday. These fronts will not make too much progress southward but storm complexes to our north during the later period of the forecast may be strong enough to slide into our area, especially Friday morning. I'll carry a 20% probability for each day, but I may be able to raise the probability for the Friday AM period in subsequent forecast updates. The EURO this morning is also bringing a front into the state this weekend with some hot as hot air and scattered storms. The GFS continues to keep the boundary north of the state, and we'll keep the forecast on the hot side at this point. Stay tuned for updates regarding the weekend.
The morning lows and daytime highs will continue to slide slowly upward compared to the last few days with morning lows in the upper 70s or lower 80s in the Metro with lower 70s in the outlying areas. Afternoon highs will be nearing 100 today and possibly from 100 to 102 by the end of the week.
No major air mass changes are expected during the next 7 days.