A Cool Monday

Good morning.  Yesterday we stayed in the lower 40s for daytime highs.  Today will be moving into the mid 50s with mostly cloudy conditions.  Another storm system will be approaching later tonight bringing a chance of showers and storms to the region.  A few of the stronger storms may become severe producing some large hail. 

 Surface based CAPE will be confined well south of the region late tonight through tomorrow morning, but elevated CAPE will be present from midnight to early Tuesday morning across southern and central OK.  Consequently the Storms Prediction Center has highlighted this area for a slight risk of severe weather for late tonight through Tuesday morning.  Hail will be the risk. I have included the most unstable CAPE plot for Tuesday morning to the right of this discussion. 

 The upper air flow will continue to bring fast moving waves across the region, including another chance of showers or storms late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.  The convective parameters will remain low for this mid week system and the threat for severe storms Thursday morning remains very low.

 This cold pattern will be hanging on through Thursday morning but warmer air will be arriving Thursday with afternoon highs in the lower 60s and after morning lows in the upper 30s.

 Friday through the weekend we see temperatures moving into the mid and upper 70s with morning lows in the 50s. 

Forecast Confidence:

7:  Issues:  exact location and timing of precipitation for Monday evening into Tuesday morning.  I'll keep tonight dry but break out the pops from 4am to 11am Tuesday.

Next:

The "illness" is definitely taking hold with a lot of folks.  Wash those hands my friends.