The 24 hour temperature trace on the right for Tulsa clearly shows the rapid drop in temperature that followed the passage of the cold front during the late night hours and that temperatures have struggled to recover ever since. With clearing skies expected this afternoon, some rebound should occur but temperatures will quickly drop with the setting sun. Also, the gusty northerly winds will be subsiding after sunset resulting in a clear, cold start to Tuesday morning when temperatures will be in the low-mid 20s.
Tuesday will be mostly sunny with a nice rebound by afternoon and gusty southerly winds on Wednesday will also produce much warmer temperatures. Moisture will also be returning on Wed so look for increasing cloud cover and possibly a few showers that night.
Thursday is when things will get interesting as the synoptic set up favors showers and storms with the potential for some severe weather. That is still several days off and lots of details need to come into place before getting too excited about the severe prospects. In fact, there are already some subtle but significant differences in the guidance we are receiving for Thursday. Bottom line is that we will have a very good chance of rain with embedded storms likely as well.
This will be followed by much cooler conditions again for Fri and going on into the weekend. In fact, it could get interesting again late Sunday and into Monday as another strong system appears headed our way by then.
So, in the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.