The News On 6
TULSA, OK -- Weather discussion by Meteorologist Dick Faurot:
Complicated forecast for today and tonight. First complicating factor is the mesoscale convective system (MCS) that has dropped down out of Kansas overnight and will be making its way over portions of the state this morning. This system was totally overlooked by all the guidance, it is weakening, but will still drop some rain along with a few rumbles of thunder for about the northern half of the area during the morning hours. As it falls apart, it will also leave behind some boundaries which may serve as a focus for additional development this afternoon/evening. Not only that, but the main synoptic cool front will be arriving this afternoon/evening to also provide a focus for storm development.
Bottom line is about an 80% chance of showers/storms before the day is over and continuing into the night tonight. Some of the storms this afternoon/tonight will be severe with damaging microburst winds the main threat and also some hail in the heavier cores. On a positive note, as much as ½ to 1 inch of rain will be possible and we can certainly use the moisture.