Another day of warm weather with a sunshine and cloud mix. We’re probably seeing more clouds than sunshine later this afternoon with highs reaching the mid to upper 80s and south winds near 10 to 15 mph. Temperatures will remain above seasonal averages for the rest of the week through the weekend. A few isolated showers or storms will be possible today, mostly across far southeastern OK and northeast Texas.
Our ridge of high pressure will move westward later today allowing a small window for a few showers and storms brushing the Red River Valley. This low chance will remain south of the metro but would stay near 20% for the southeastern quadrant of the state. No organized severe weather is expected. The upper air flow will change to the northwest for the next 48 hours with the ridge positioned to the west. A few scattered showers and storms will be possible tomorrow, just about anywhere across eastern OK, by the probability will remain near or less than 20%. The upper air flow should allow a complex of storms move across the eastern Kansas region Thursday morning that may impact northeastern OK or northwestern Arkansas. Again, chances will remain low for this forecast, but may increase in subsequent updates. This window is mostly early Thursday morning before the ridge of high pressure will return and bring warm and humid weather back across the area into the weekend. Some data suggest heat index values this weekend will approach the upper 90s to near 100 while afternoon highs reach the lower 90s with dry conditions.
One issue that bears watching early next week is tropical depression three, currently in the southern Gulf of Mexico. This system may have impacts on southern U.S. coastal regions this weekend into early next week, with some data supporting the remnant low brushing far eastern OK and western Arkansas Tuesday. These trajectories are not locked and will more than likely change some over the next few days.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!