Our pattern continues to support pleasant temperatures, abundant sunshine and increasing wind speeds for the middle of the week before another storm system nears the state later this weekend with increasing rain and storm chances Sunday. Chilly temps this morning in the 30s and 40s will rebound with highs reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s today. A weak upper-level impulse will move along the upper flow across central Kansas later tonight into Wednesday, but the lack of moisture will keep us dry and sunny tomorrow. Strong south to southwest winds will increase from 20 to 35 mph Wednesday and remain gusty on Thursday. The fire spread rate increases Wednesday as relative humidity will remain from 25 to 30% near and west of the metro. Please remain aware of the increasing fire danger threats Wednesday. Low-level moisture returns from the south for the 2nd half of the week into the weekend ahead of a storm system that brings storm chances back into the area this weekend.
The timing for the weekend system continues to support higher chances mostly pre-dawn Sunday, but we’ll have some mentions for late Saturday evening in case the system speeds up some. The severe weather threats appear minimal at this point. The timing supports temps in the 50s and 60s pre-dawn Sunday but falling into the mid and upper 40s for the afternoon with northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph. Next week the upper air pattern will be supporting at least two distinct storm systems that will bring active weather into the state, including a chance for showers or storms late Monday evening into early Tuesday morning, especially across southeastern OK. It’s too early to pinpoint a Thanksgiving forecast with any certainty, but active weather should be nearby.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather update and blog.
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