Warmer Weather, Storm Chances Later This Week

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TULSA, Okla. - A cool and breezy day is ahead, but rain could soon make a return to Green Country.

Here are the details from News On 6 Meteorologist Alan Crone:

A weak system is quickly moving across far northern Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas on Tuesday morning. A few sprinkles occurred overnight along the state line region with no significant impact. A surface cold front will quickly move across the area on Tuesday morning bringing gusty northwest winds from 15 to 25 mph with highs in the mid-50s. The storm system nearing for the second half of the week features strong south winds and warmer weather before thunderstorm chances return to part of the state. A few storms will remain possible Thursday evening, but the higher chances continue to shift into Friday morning through the midday period across the eastern third of the region. Despite the early morning hours, the threat for strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. As the dry line and cold front passes the area, strong westerly winds, dry air and warmer weather arrives Friday afternoon with increasing fire spread issues for a few hours. Mostly pleasant weather arrives for the weekend with highs Saturday in the lower to mid-60s and Sunday into the mid and upper 70s. Another strong-looking system will near the state early next week but beforehand, highs will reach the lower 80s Monday and possibly Tuesday.

A powerful upper-level system brings strong winds aloft Thursday into Friday across the southern and central plains. Convective and potential energy will be increasing Friday morning across the eastern third of Oklahoma along with deep layer wind shear. Despite the early morning hours, instability factors will be increasing Friday morning through midday as this dynamic system approaches the state. Thunderstorms will begin to develop late Thursday evening into Friday morning and may continue through midday near and east of Tulsa before ending as the dry line rapidly moves east. Most data suggest a strong capping inversion may limit storm production for most of Thursday, but by evening, a few storms will be possible. The best window for storm activity will occur early Friday to midday near and southeast of Tulsa. Strong west winds, dry air and high fire danger issues will quickly arrive across the western half of the state Friday afternoon with relative humidities dropping to near or even below 20%. Winds Friday afternoon will be gusting from 20 to 40 mph creating a favorable environment for rapid fire spread. Red Flag Warning criteria is likely near and west of Tulsa.

Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV