Saturday, November 2nd 2024, 11:07 pm
A strong storm system will affect the state today, bringing flooding rains and severe weather threats this weekend. A flood watch is in effect for most of northeastern Oklahoma starting this afternoon and lasting through early Monday.
Multiple rounds of showers and storms are expected, with rainfall projections of 4 to 6 inches, and some localized areas may receive between 8 and 10 inches.
The risk of strong to severe storms will also increase, particularly Saturday night and early Sunday morning, mainly near or southwest of the Tulsa metro area.
Additional severe weather threats will develop Sunday afternoon and evening across southern sections, with more severe weather expected Monday across most of eastern Oklahoma.
Saturday’s highs will reach the upper 60s to lower 70s, with overcast skies and southeast winds at 10 to 20 mph.
The upper air flow features a deep trough over the western United States and a mid-level ridge of high pressure centered in the southeast creating a favorable southwest airflow over the southern and central plains.
This persistent southerly flow will bring significant moisture, setting the stage for showers and storms, including the possibility of heavy rainfall.
The main upper trough is expected to remain in the area until late Monday night or early Tuesday morning, with several disturbances rounding the base of the trough and affecting the state beginning this afternoon and continuing through the weekend.
Timing these disturbances may be difficult, but each wave will increase the likelihood of showers and storms.
The first wave is expected later this afternoon and tonight, continuing into early Sunday morning.
We may see a brief lull on Sunday before more storms develop in the afternoon and evening, potentially bringing heavy rainfall and severe weather.
Thunderstorms are likely early Monday, followed by a final round of storms in the afternoon.
As the main upper air trough ejects to our northeast late Monday night and early Tuesday morning, dry air will wrap around the system, leading to mostly pleasant and dry Election Day weather with morning lows in the 50s and daytime highs in the mid-60s.
A consensus of data suggests another storm system could approach the area late next week, but timing may change. Low-end probabilities for showers and storms will remain in the forecast from late next week into early next weekend.
Northeast Oklahoma has various power companies and electric cooperatives, many of which have overlapping areas of coverage. Below is a link to various outage maps.
Indian Electric Cooperative (IEC) Outage Map
Oklahoma Association of Electric Cooperatives Outage Map — (Note Several Smaller Co-ops Included)
https://open.spotify.com/show/0dCHRWMFjs4fEPKLqTLjvy
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Apple:
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