Good morning. Several fronts will cross the state and region bringing some variation in day to day temperatures, winds, and wind direction. The fire danger will continue to be enhanced, especially today, as strong northwest winds increase speeds during the middle of the day. A fast moving short wave will cross the area this morning through midday. A few of the high resolution models depict some precipitation with this wave, but the lower levels of the atmosphere may be too dry for the precip to survive to the ground. I may end up adding a slight pop for today's forecast at the last second, but our main issue will be the wind.
We're tracking another cold front near the state this morning. This boundary will rapidly advance southeast bringing a minor temperature change along with a mid-level cloud deck for a few hours.
Gusty northwest winds combined with low relative humidity and dry vegetation near and west of Tulsa will increase the fire danger again this afternoon. Locations southeast of Tulsa experienced a decent rainfall last week, but vegetation will dry out quickly (if not already) resulting in increasing fire danger issues for eastern OK. Red Flag warning criteria will not be met today, but you are encouraged to refrain from outside burning and use caution to avoid creating sparks that may result in wild fire. The wind speeds will range from 15 to 25 mph with some gusts approaching the lower 30s by midday.
The extended forecast basically concerns temperature and winds as low level moisture will remain void from the area with no chance of rain for the rest of the week. Again, today we have a fast moving short wave that could produce some sprinkles, but most of this precip may evaporate before hitting the ground.
Highs today will range in the lower 50s with northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph. Wednesday morning temperatures will start in the lower or mid-30s followed by highs in the upper 40s. Thursday will feature slightly warmer readings with highs moving back into the mid-50s before another cold front moves across NE OK Thursday night into Friday morning. This boundary will have colder air, at least for the NE quadrant of the state, allowing temps to drop into the lower 40s for highs after morning lows in the lower to mid-20s.
The weekend may also feature a boundary near northern OK but temps should remain above the seasonal average for both daytime highs and morning lows. We're leaning toward warmer guidance and not cooler weather at this point in the forecast cycle. The next weather maker may not appear until early next week and some data support this system remaining too far south to impact our area. Enjoy the weather friends.
The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 59 recorded at 3:21pm.
The normal daily average high is 48 the low is 27.
Our daily records include a high of 75 from 1952 and 1928. The daily record low is -4 from 1916.
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