Some Morning Fog & Thursday Morning Storms

Tuesday, October 21st 2014, 4:28 am

By: Alan Crone

Some Morning Fog & Thursday Morning Storms

After taking a few days off to spend with the family for fall break, I'm, back in the “forecasting saddle" for a while. Thanks to everyone here in the weather office for covering for me during the last three days.   Now to the future.

A dense fog advisory is posted for several counties to the north and northeast of Tulsa this morning. Use caution while traveling early this morning.   You'll find the county by county outline of the advisory at the top of the main weather page.

Our pattern remains interesting, but rather benign for the next few days. It's interesting due to the lack of truly cold air anywhere in sight, and it's benign due to the lack of truly active systems in the next few days. Now...don't misunderstand me: we're tracking two systems for the 7 day period includes the storm chances early Thursday, and then some slightly cooler air arriving early next week. After the Thursday morning system passes, we'll see Thursday afternoon highs in the lower 70s, maybe, before unseasonably warm air arrives for the weekend. We're heading back into the lower and mid-80s for weekend highs. A minor cool down will be offered Thursday with highs in the lower 70s but this is due to rain-cooled air Thursday morning and the lack of sunshine until late Thursday afternoon.

A weak upper level system will pass over the region Wednesday night into Thursday morning with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low level moisture will be increasing slightly before this system moves over the state, but the threat for significant severe weather and thunderstorm activity will remain low. A few small hailers will be possible in a few spots. Our probability for showers and storms will remain in the 40 to 50% range beginning late Wednesday and continuing into the first half of Thursday. A minor cool down is likely to occur Thursday with morning lows in the lower 50s and highs in the lower 70s. The cooler air will be short lived with unseasonably warm air returning rapidly Friday into the weekend. We may be approaching some record highs Sunday.

Another system will be arriving early next week and this one may knock temps back into the lower 70s early next week for daytime highs and morning lows in the 40s or lower 50s. The long range consensus may also bring another stronger looking upper level wave over the state for the middle of next week.

A dense fog advisory is posted for several counties to the north and northeast of Tulsa this morning. Use caution while traveling early this morning.   You'll find the county by county outline of the advisory at the top of the main weather page.

Some patchy fog is possible this morning in a few of the valleys around Tulsa with light winds and cool temps in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon highs will range around 76 to 79 both today and tomorrow.

Thanks for reading the short version of the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV